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    2016 Greater China Real Estate Market Outlook

    China Major Report | January 2016

    China’s main economic goal in 2016 is to manage a soft landing. This will enable it to achieve a smooth transition to a “new normal” that will allow for slower but more sustainable development.

    Slower economic growth, in combination with abundant new supply, is set to push up vacancy rates for both office and retail assets across most markets in the mainland. Rental growth, meanwhile, is forecasted to decelerate. Driven by resilient demand, logistics rents in most markets are expected to continue to rise in 2016. Domestic institutional investors are expected to become increasingly active in the market in 2016.

    Office: Rents in tier I cities are expected to remain steady, while those in a number of tier II cities are likely to come under increasing pressure.

    Retail: The retail sector may face headwinds in the near term; rental growth is likely to be sluggish in 2016.

    Industrial: Huge room for growth in the logistics sector; logistics rents are expected to rise further in 2016.

    Investment: Offices remain the preferred asset class in the investment market; Chinese capital continues to seek diversification in overseas markets.

    Hong Kong market: The office sector is expected to continue to experience rental growth, as well as remain a key focus of investors; the retail and logistics sectors are likely to endure a market slowdown.


    Contacts


    Frank Chen, CFA
    Head of Research, China
    +86 755 8282 0098
    Email

      Marcos Chan
    Head of Research, Hong Kong, Macau & Taiwan
    +852 2820 2886
    Email?
      Sam Xie
    Senior Director
    +86 21 2401 1318
    Email ?

             
    Roy Ng
    Manager
    +852 2820 1524
    Email
      Julian Jiang
    Associate Director
    +86 21 2401 1342
    Email
      Laura Zhu
    Senior Analyst
    +86 755 8282 0097
    Email
             

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    2016 Greater China Real Estate Market Outlook

    2016 Greater China Real Estate Market Outlook




    2016 Greater China Real Estate Market Outlook

    2016大中華區 房地產市場展望

    2016 Asia Pacific Real Estate Market Outlook

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